Friday, July 25, 2008

Authorities Tell Us To Stop Eating Meat

Do we really want a society where the authorities tell us what to eat, to think, what we can do with our bodies, our lives, our families and our communities? I fear that the authority personality lends to our leaders has overtaken the democratic foundation of authority being the will of the people.

Unfortunately people can be manipulated in the way they think and act by the kinds and amount of information provided on the subject at issue. For instance consider that when it comes to UFOs, cold fusion, nuclear power and the immigration debate, to take four contentious or incendiary examples, seldom does a proper debate take place nor even do the facts get a proper airing.

Equal time for each side is the cry of fair reporting but it isn't by any stretch of the imagination. The facts usually lend themselves to scientific analysis however any rational argument can be completely buried by the numerous false or misleading alternatives to doing so. 50% equal time to each side of these debates: 1) UFO remnants are kept hidden by the government; 2) Cold fusion provides an inexhaustible supply of clean energy; 3) Nuclear power is unsafe; and 4) Immigration should be cut to save the environment.

Without going into details the correct answers are: 1) There is no credible evidence for the existence of terrestrial UFOs; 2) Cold fusion has not been demonstrated in a repeatable experiment on any scale and there is no physical theory to support that is can be; 3) Nuclear power is produced by hundreds of fission reactors without giving off pollution or contributing to greenhouse gases; and 4) The contradiction that exploitation of resources should be reduced by cutting immigration is an inconsistent moral position and probably demonstrates racial prejudice since the majority of immigrants are Asian and African.

The Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) is an outcome of Ross Garnaut's Draft Report on Climate Change in order to implement the Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme and each of these present dreadful examples of weasel words. The ETS is just another name for a tax, the assumption of climate change and its impacts are givens, and the wrong implication that carbon is a pollutant, whereas carbon dioxide is an essential component of the food chain.

Without going into the details that can easily be found elsewhere on the web, I wish to make a few short and sharp points about the climate change agenda. The reports of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) have produced dramatically different positions at each publication. This is often cited as a case of a scientific position being improved however the rapidity of change and fluidity of positions and the scarcity of data lead me to conclude that the authors themselves have low confidence in their own conclusions.

The film An Inconvenient Truth has been credited for raising the environment consciousness of many people however it has done so by misrepresenting the facts. The media that stands apart from the adulation directed at the film is to be commended because it is impossible for the people to participate in the debate and to make informed decisions if they are fed misinformation and when facts that are pertinent to the matter are disregarded by the authorities making those questionable assertions.

The theory of anthropogenic climate change is either right or wrong and if right may or may not itself have an impact on society however the incredible cost of trillions of dollars being mooted for global mitigation of the primary greenhouse gases, carbon dioxide and methane, surely may be better spent of other social projects such as alleviating poverty and disease in the third world.

Al Gore, Tim Flannery and Ross Garnaut are paraded in Australia as experts giving advice to the Prime Minister Kevin Rudd and the Minister for the Environment, Penny Wong. However Richard Feynmen, warns his students and anyone else who asks for his opinion to distrust authority for the simple reason that authorities are often wrong. He implores us to explore on our own and to try and understand the facts so as to form our own opinion. His dissenting opinion of the causes of the Challenger disaster against the collegial consensus is a case in point.

Is the goal of the ETS when it is applied to agriculture to reduce the number of cows and sheep thereby promoting alternative food sources? In this case, the repricing will greatly affect the poor and middle class leaving the wealthy and well off the primary consumers of meat products. Is this a desirable and equitable outcome or should agriculture be excluded from the ETS?

Let's face it, if there is not a product substitute for affected products then the ETS is just another tax.

5 comments:

Jed Rothwell said...

Greetings. You wrote:

"Cold fusion has not been demonstrated in a repeatable experiment on any scale and there is no physical theory to support that is can be . . ."

That is incorrect. Cold fusion has been demonstrated in over 200 world-class laboratories such as Los Alamos and BARC, at a scale ranging from a fraction of a watt up to about 100 W.

There are several physical theories by authors as Nobel Laureate Schwinger, but none are widely accepted.

Roughly 3,000 papers on cold fusion have been published, including about a thousand in mainstream, peer-reviewed journals. I suggest you review this literature before commenting on this research. See:

http://lenr-canr.org

- Jed Rothwell
Librarian, LENR-CANR.org

Daniel Berinson said...

Hi Jed,

I don't think that I need to poll the general population on the merits of, say, public health policy. Neither do I have to read even a fraction of 3,000 papers to conclude that,

"So far, no theory has successfully shown how the effect can be amplified and made more reproducible, even though many suggestions have been made." (http://lenr-canr.org/StudentsGuide.htm)

I commend the factual statement however the following sentence is a concern, "This failure has resulted from an emphasis on the nuclear mechanism instead of on the environment in which the reactions occur." This sentence is misleading and dismissive of nuclear physics and instead appeals to the modern alchemy of electrochemistry to provide a suitable reaction.

On the other hand, there is the "other" cold fusion which seeks to optimise fusion between colliding particles of intersecting beams in small-scale particle accelerators. While the particle energies are low compared to "hot" fusion, Tokamak-style approaches like the JET and pending ITER project, the containment times are orders of magnitude higher.

Reproducibility is the hallmark of science and in particular Popperian falsifiablity is requisite for any theory if we are to avoid the trap of Kuhn's paradigms.

Jed Rothwell said...

You wrote:

". . . Neither do I have to read even a fraction of 3,000 papers to conclude that,

'So far, no theory has successfully shown how the effect can be amplified and made more reproducible, even though many suggestions have been made.'

You did not have to read any papers to reach that conclusion: that is what I told you in the first message. However, you do have to read many papers to understand and evaluate the experimental evidence because it is complicated. In any case, your assertion was that "cold fusion has not been demonstrated in a repeatable experiment on any scale” That is nonsense, as you see from the many papers in our library.

The fact that there is no theoretical explanation for cold fusion has no bearing on whether it is real or not. Many real phenomena cannot be explained.


"I commend the factual statement however the following sentence is a concern, 'This failure has resulted from an emphasis on the nuclear mechanism instead of on the environment in which the reactions occur.' This sentence is misleading and dismissive of nuclear physics and instead appeals to the modern alchemy of electrochemistry to provide a suitable reaction."

Storms is a nuclear physicist himself. I do not see anything dismissive about this. He is merely stating a well-known fact. Cold fusion is a low temperature effect governed by the chemical environment. The term "alchemy" is a loaded and inaccurate term. You might as well call conventional fission "alchemy."


"Reproducibility is the hallmark of science and in particular Popperian falsifiablity is requisite for any theory if we are to avoid the trap of Kuhn's paradigms."

Cold fusion is highly reproducible in some configurations. The SRI consortium reports 60 to 80% success for the past few years. Mitsubishi has done their transmutation experiment dozens of times since the mid-1990s and it has worked every time. That experiment costs ~$20 million to replicate, so only two other labs have done it (Toyota and the National Synchrotron Lab) but they also always succeed.

- Jed

Daniel Berinson said...

Hi Jed,

I am a little surprised that my contentious post about the ETS mooted for Australia has become quite a vigorous discussion about cold fusion!

The fundamental problem that most physicists have with claims that, "Cold fusion is a low temperature effect governed by the chemical environment," is overcoming the Coulomb barrier due to the electrostatic forces of repulsion in order that the strong nuclear force can come into play.

I really do appreciate your feedback but I have not read the details of the experimental studies you have mentioned. If you can provide (preferably online) citations I will look them up before commenting on their claims.

Cheers,
Daniel

Jed Rothwell said...

You wrote:

"The fundamental problem that most physicists have with claims that, 'Cold fusion is a low temperature effect governed by the chemical environment,' is overcoming the Coulomb barrier due to the electrostatic forces of repulsion in order that the strong nuclear force can come into play."

Yes. Everyone agrees that is the problem. That was clear to Fleischmann and Pons in 1985, and for that matter it was clear in the 1920s and 30s when cold fusion was first reported.



"If you can provide (preferably online) citations I will look them up before commenting on their claims."

As I mentioned, there are ~500 papers on line at LENR-CANR.org. I recently uploaded a succinct guide to some of them at the new Knol encyclopedia:

http://knol.google.com/k/jed-rothwell/cold-fusion/2zjj2hvn3qzi5/2#

- Jed